Zach Wilson Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Zach Wilson

NFL · Player Props

Zach Wilson

QB · New York Jets

Rushing Yards

New York Jets vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 6, 2023

Updated Oct 16, 2023 12:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Zach Wilson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Jets have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Nathaniel Hackett, and our trusted projections expect their pass/run mix to skew 1.1% more towards rushing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
Zach Wilson's 17.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season conveys a a meaningful progression in his running skills over last season's 12.0 mark.
Zach Wilson's 6.37 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this season signifies a a remarkable improvement in his running proficiency over last season's 5.35 rate.

Favors Under

The New York Jets may pass less in this contest (and hand the ball off more) since they be rolling with backup QB Zach Wilson.
The Jets are a 6.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
The model projects the New York Jets as the 10th-least run-focused team on the slate this week with a 40.3% run rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
Right now, the 5th-slowest paced team in football (context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the New York Jets.
The the New York Jets offensive line ranks as the worst in the league last year at blocking for rushers.

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