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Zach Wilson

Zach Wilson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 6

New York Jets vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Zach Wilson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Jets have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Nathaniel Hackett, and our trusted projections expect their pass/run mix to skew 1.1% more towards rushing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
  • Zach Wilson's 17.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season conveys a a meaningful progression in his running skills over last season's 12.0 mark.
  • Zach Wilson's 6.37 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this season signifies a a remarkable improvement in his running proficiency over last season's 5.35 rate.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The New York Jets may pass less in this contest (and hand the ball off more) since they be rolling with backup QB Zach Wilson.
  • The Jets are a 6.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
  • The model projects the New York Jets as the 10th-least run-focused team on the slate this week with a 40.3% run rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • Right now, the 5th-slowest paced team in football (context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the New York Jets.
  • The the New York Jets offensive line ranks as the worst in the league last year at blocking for rushers.

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