Zach Wilson Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Zach Wilson

NFL · Player Props

Zach Wilson

QB · New York Jets

Rushing Yards

Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 5:51 PM EST

Analysis

Zach Wilson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Zach Wilson's 18.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season shows an impressive progression in his running skills over last season's 12.0 mark.
Zach Wilson's ground effectiveness has improved this year, averaging 6.23 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a mere 5.35 mark last year.

Favors Under

At a -7-point disadvantage, the Jets are enormous underdogs in this week's contest, suggesting much more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their usual approach.
Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the New York Jets to run on 39.1% of their downs: the 7th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the New York Jets are anticipated by the predictive model to call only 63.3 total plays in this game: the 5th-lowest number on the slate this week.
The New York Jets have called the 7th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling just 55.9 plays per game.
When it comes to executing run-blocking assignments (and the ramifications it has on all ground game statistics), the O-line of the Jets profiles as the worst in the league last year.

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