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Zach Wilson

Zach Wilson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets

Zach Wilson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-120/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Zach Wilson has rushed for significantly more yards per game (19.0) this year than he did last year (12.0).

Zach Wilson's 6.73 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this year shows a significant boost in his running ability over last year's 5.35 rate.

The Bills defense has had the 6th-worst efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, allowing 4.76 adjusted yards-per-carry.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Jets may throw the ball less in this contest (and hand the ball off more) since they be forced to use backup quarterback Zach Wilson.

The model projects the New York Jets offensive approach to skew 1.1% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Nathaniel Hackett now calling the plays.

This game's spread implies a passing game script for the Jets, who are -6.5-point underdogs.

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Jets to run on 38.6% of their opportunities: the 3rd-lowest clip on the slate this week.

Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Jets are predicted by the projection model to call only 62.4 total plays in this contest: the 3rd-fewest among all teams this week.

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