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Zach Wilson

Zach Wilson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 9

New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Zach Wilson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-135/+105).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Jets to call the 3rd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.1 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Zach Wilson to be much more involved in his offense's running game this week (9.3% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (1.0% in games he has played).
  • The New York Jets have been faced with a stacked the box on just 13.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-least in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
  • The New York Jets have risked going for it on 4th down 22.0% of the time since the start of last season (10th-most in football), which typically means more offensive volume, more touchdown potential, and higher offensive stats across the board.
  • The New York Jets have incorporated some form of misdirection on 57.6% of their plays since the start of last season (3rd-most in the NFL), which masks an offenses true intentions and may make them more effective.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Jets are a 3-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the New York Jets to be the 4th-least run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 37.1% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Zach Wilson to accumulate 2.3 carries this week, on average: the 8th-least of all QBs.
  • Zach Wilson has rushed for substantially fewer yards per game (10.0) this year than he did last year (15.0).
  • Zach Wilson's rushing efficiency has tailed off this season, notching a measly 5.34 yards-per-carry vs a 7.98 mark last season.

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