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Zach Wilson

Zach Wilson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Green Bay Packers vs New York Jets

Zach Wilson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The New York Jets have run the 4th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 65.0 plays per game.

THE BLITZ projects Zach Wilson to be much more involved in his offense's running game this week (9.7% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (3.1% in games he has played).

Zach Wilson's ground effectiveness (7.73 yards per carry) has been some of the best in the NFL since the start of last season (100th percentile among QBs).

Zach Wilson has been among the leading QBs in football at grinding out extra ground yardage, averaging a stellar 3.32 yards-after-contact since the start of last season while grading out in the 86th percentile.

The Green Bay Packers defense has had the 9th-worst efficiency against opposing run games this year, yielding 4.98 yards-per-carry.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Jets are an enormous 7.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the New York Jets to be the 5th-least run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 37.4% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects the Jets to run the 2nd-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.1 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects Zach Wilson to garner 2.3 carries in this contest, on average: the 6th-least of all quarterbacks.

The New York Jets offensive line ranks as the 10th-worst in football this year at blocking for the run game.

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