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Zach Wilson

Zach Wilson Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 9

New York Jets vs Los Angeles Chargers

Zach Wilson Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 216.5 (-130/+100).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The New York Jets will be forced to start backup quarterback Zach Wilson in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.

The Jets are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is anticipated by the predictive model to see 130.6 total plays run: the 4th-most among all games this week.

Opposing offenses have averaged 39.7 pass attempts per game versus the Chargers defense this year: 4th-most in the league.

Zach Wilson's 60.3% Adjusted Completion% this season illustrates a meaningful progression in his passing accuracy over last season's 55.9% figure.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the New York Jets to pass on 58.8% of their chances: the lowest rate among all teams this week.

The Jets have called the fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a mere 52.9 plays per game.

In this week's game, Zach Wilson is predicted by the model to average the fewest pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 35.2.

The New York O-line ranks as the worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful influence on all air attack statistics across the board.

Zach Wilson grades out as one of the worst per-play passers in football this year, averaging a lowly 6.18 adjusted yards-per-target while ranking in the lowly 16th percentile.

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