Zach Wilson Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Zach Wilson

NFL · Player Props

Zach Wilson

QB · New York Jets

Passing Yards

New York Giants vs New York Jets · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 27, 2023 6:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Zach Wilson Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 200.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 196.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 200.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Jets may throw the ball less in this game (and call more carries) because they be forced to utilize backup QB Zach Wilson.
Zach Wilson's passing accuracy has gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 55.9% to 62.6%.
This year, the porous New York Giants defense has allowed the 7th-most adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing teams: a staggering 8.15 yards.
This year, the feeble Giants defense has been gouged for the most yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing teams: a colossal 6.76 YAC.
The Giants cornerbacks rank as the 2nd-worst unit in the league this year in defending pass-catchers.

Favors Under

The Jets are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the New York Jets to pass on 56.1% of their plays: the 10th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the New York Jets are forecasted by our trusted projection set to run only 63.6 plays on offense in this contest: the 11th-lowest number among all teams this week.
The 3rd-smallest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Jets this year (a mere 52.0 per game on average).
This week, Zach Wilson is anticipated by the model to wind up with the 9th-fewest pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 32.8.

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