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Zach Wilson

Zach Wilson Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 8

New York Giants vs New York Jets

 
 
 
Zach Wilson Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 200.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 196.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 200.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Jets may throw the ball less in this game (and call more carries) because they be forced to utilize backup QB Zach Wilson.
  • Zach Wilson's passing accuracy has gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 55.9% to 62.6%.
  • This year, the porous New York Giants defense has allowed the 7th-most adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing teams: a staggering 8.15 yards.
  • This year, the feeble Giants defense has been gouged for the most yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing teams: a colossal 6.76 YAC.
  • The Giants cornerbacks rank as the 2nd-worst unit in the league this year in defending pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Jets are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the New York Jets to pass on 56.1% of their plays: the 10th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the New York Jets are forecasted by our trusted projection set to run only 63.6 plays on offense in this contest: the 11th-lowest number among all teams this week.
  • The 3rd-smallest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Jets this year (a mere 52.0 per game on average).
  • This week, Zach Wilson is anticipated by the model to wind up with the 9th-fewest pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 32.8.

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