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Zach Wilson Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 210.5 (-125/-103).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 203.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 210.5 @ -125.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The New York Jets will be forced to use backup QB Zach Wilson in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.Zach Wilson's passing accuracy has gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 55.9% to 60.6%.Opposing offenses have thrown for the 2nd-most adjusted yards in the NFL (286.0 per game) versus the Broncos defense this year.The Broncos defense has been vulnerable when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, giving up an average of 7.58 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year: the most in football.As it relates to cornerbacks in pass coverage, Denver's collection of CBs has been awful this year, grading out as the worst in the NFL.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the New York Jets are anticipated by the projection model to run just 61.1 plays on offense in this game: the 5th-lowest number on the slate this week.The New York Jets have called the fewest plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 49.5 plays per game.In this week's contest, Zach Wilson is predicted by our trusted projection set to total the 10th-fewest pass attempts among all QBs with 33.4. With a terrible tally of 180.0 adjusted passing yards per game (24th percentile), Zach Wilson has been as one of the bottom QBs in football this year.With a poor 5.84 adjusted yards-per-target (15th percentile) this year, Zach Wilson stands among the least efficient QBs in football.
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