Zach Wilson Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Zach Wilson

NFL · Player Props

Zach Wilson

QB · New York Jets

Passing Yards

New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills · Week 9, 2022

Updated Nov 7, 2022 12:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Zach Wilson Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 207.5 (+140/-170).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Jets are a 3-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the New York Jets as the 5th-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 62.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Jets to call the 3rd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.1 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Zach Wilson to attempt 37.8 passes in this week's game, on average: the 7th-most of all quarterbacks.
The New York Jets offensive line has allowed their quarterback 2.69 seconds before the pass (5th-best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a positive impact on all pass game stats across the board.

Favors Under

The New York Jets O-line profiles as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all passing game statistics across the board.
Zach Wilson has been among the least accurate passers in the league this year with a 58.1% Completion%, checking in at the 11th percentile.
The Buffalo Bills pass defense has shown strong efficiency this year, giving up 7.02 yards-per-target: the 7th-least in the league.
The Buffalo Bills defense has been quite strong when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, giving up an average of 4.72 yards-after-the-catch this year: the least in the NFL.
The Buffalo Bills linebackers rank as the best LB corps in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

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