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Zach Wilson

Zach Wilson Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 8

New York Jets vs New England Patriots

Zach Wilson Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 178.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 178.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 178.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Jets are a 3-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.

The New York Jets offense has played at the 3rd-quickest pace in the NFL (context-neutralized) this year, averaging 26.56 seconds per play.

The weatherman calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

Zach Wilson's throwing accuracy has gotten better this year, with his Completion% jumping from 56.0% to 60.0%.

The New York Jets O-line has afforded their quarterback 2.69 seconds before the pass (5th-best in the league since the start of last season), which has a positive effect on all passing attack stats across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The New York Jets offensive line profiles as the 6th-worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all pass game statistics across the board.

Zach Wilson has been among the worst passers in the NFL this year, averaging 166.0 yards per game while checking in at the 17th percentile.

Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 6th-lowest level in football against the New England Patriots defense this year (66.1%).

The New England Patriots defense has excelled when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, conceding an average of 5.49 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 9th-least in the league.

The New England Patriots cornerbacks rank as the 9th-best group of CBs in football this year in pass coverage.

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