Zach Wilson Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Zach Wilson

NFL · Player Props

Zach Wilson

QB · New York Jets

Passing Yards

Denver Broncos vs New York Jets · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 23, 2022 7:56 PM EST

Analysis

Zach Wilson Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 184.5 (+100/-133).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 185.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 184.5 @ -133.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Jets to run the 6th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 65.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New York Jets have called the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 62.2 plays per game.
Opposing QBs have averaged 40.3 pass attempts per game versus the Denver Broncos defense this year: 6th-most in the league.
The New York Jets offensive line has afforded their QB 2.69 seconds before the pass (5th-best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a positive effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.
The Denver Broncos pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs 2.53 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 6th-most sluggish in football since the start of last season.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the New York Jets as the least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 52.9% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The forecast calls for 22-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Zach Wilson to attempt 31.5 passes in this game, on average: the least of all quarterbacks.
The New York Jets O-line ranks as the 7th-worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.
Zach Wilson has been among the bottom quarterbacks in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging 181.0 yards per game while checking in at the 24th percentile.

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