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Zach Wilson

Zach Wilson Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Pittsburgh Steelers vs New York Jets

Zach Wilson Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 206.5 (-111/-119).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 206.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 206.5 @ -119.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Jets are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.

The Jets rank as the 8th-most pass-centric team in the league (context-neutralized) this year with a 67.9% pass rate.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 138.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects Zach Wilson to attempt 37.1 passes in this week's game, on average: the 10th-most of all QBs.

The New York Jets offensive line has given their QB 2.69 seconds before the pass (5th-best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a strong impact on all air attack metrics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing QBs have averaged 33.0 pass attempts per game versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense since the start of last season: 10th-least in the NFL.

The New York Jets offensive line profiles as the 9th-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all air attack metrics across the board.

Zach Wilson has been among the worst quarterbacks in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging 182.0 yards per game while grading out in the 18th percentile.

Zach Wilson has been among the least accurate QBs in the league since the start of last season with a 56.0% Completion%, grading out in the 3rd percentile.

Zach Wilson has been among the least effective quarterbacks in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a mere 6.19 yards-per-target while grading out in the lowly 9th percentile.

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