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Zach Wilson

Zach Wilson Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

New York Jets vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Zach Wilson Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 186.5 (-103/-126).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 208.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 186.5 @ -126.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Jets to call the 10th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.4 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Opposing QBs have averaged 36.6 pass attempts per game versus the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL.

Opposing offenses have thrown for the 9th-most yards in football (257.0 per game) vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year.

The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has not been good when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, yielding an average of 5.60 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 6th-most in the NFL.

The Jacksonville Jaguars linebackers project as the 4th-worst collection of LBs in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the New York Jets to be the 9th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 52.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The weatherman calls for 15-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.

The New York Jets O-line ranks as the 7th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all passing attack stats across the board.

Zach Wilson has been among the bottom passers in the NFL this year, averaging 190.0 yards per game while grading out in the 20th percentile.

Zach Wilson has been among the least on-target passers in the league this year with a 57.1% Completion%, grading out in the 3rd percentile.

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