Zach Wilson Completions - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Zach Wilson

NFL · Player Props

Zach Wilson

QB · New York Jets

Completions

New York Jets vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 6, 2023

Updated Oct 15, 2023 11:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Zach Wilson Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The New York Jets may pass less in this contest (and hand the ball off more) since they be rolling with backup QB Zach Wilson.
The Jets are a 6.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
The Philadelphia Eagles defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, allowing opposing QBs to attempt the 3rd-most passes in football (41.0 per game) this year.
Zach Wilson's throwing precision has gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 55.9% to 62.9%.
When it comes to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, Philadelphia's CB corps has been easily exploitable this year, ranking as the 4th-worst in the league.

Favors Under

The Jets have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Nathaniel Hackett, and our trusted projections expect their pass/run mix to skew 1.1% more towards rushing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
Right now, the 5th-slowest paced team in football (context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the New York Jets.
This year, the strong Philadelphia Eagles defense has conceded a paltry 67.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 10th-smallest rate in football.

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