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Zach Wilson

Zach Wilson Completions
Player Prop Week 5

New York Jets vs Miami Dolphins

Zach Wilson Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-114/-114).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Jets are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.

The New York Jets have called the 5th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 69.5 plays per game.

Opposing QBs have averaged 40.0 pass attempts per game against the Miami Dolphins defense this year: 8th-most in football.

The Miami Dolphins safeties rank as the 7th-worst safety corps in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

The New York Jets offensive line has allowed their quarterback 2.69 seconds before the pass (5th-best in the league since the start of last season), which has a positive effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Jets to run the 11th-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 64.2 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The New York Jets O-line ranks as the 3rd-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.

Zach Wilson has been among the least on-target quarterbacks in the league this year with a 53.2% Completion%, ranking in the 20th percentile.

The Miami Dolphins defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks just 2.36 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 3rd-quickest in the NFL since the start of last season.

The New York Jets have faced a stacked the box on a measly 13.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-least in football. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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