Zach Wilson Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Zach Wilson

NFL · Player Props

Zach Wilson

QB · New York Jets

Carries

New York Jets vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 9, 2023

Updated Nov 7, 2023 12:31 AM EST

Analysis

Zach Wilson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-174/+135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -174 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is anticipated by the predictive model to see 130.6 total plays run: the 4th-most among all games this week.
As it relates to the defensive ends' role in stopping the run, Los Angeles's collection of DEs has been very bad this year, grading out as the worst in the league. in the league.

Favors Under

The New York Jets will be forced to start backup quarterback Zach Wilson in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
The Jets are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.
The projections expect the New York Jets as the 2nd-least run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 41.2% run rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
The Jets have called the fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a mere 52.9 plays per game.
The leading projections forecast Zach Wilson to earn 2.9 rush attempts this week, on average: the fewest among all quarterbacks.

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