Zach Wilson Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Zach Wilson

NFL · Player Props

Zach Wilson

QB · New York Jets

Carries

Dallas Cowboys vs New York Jets · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 18, 2023 1:26 AM UTC

Analysis

Zach Wilson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +110 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Favors Under

The New York Jets will be starting backup quarterback Zach Wilson in this contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
The Jets are an enormous 8.5-point underdog this week, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the New York Jets to be the 4th-least run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 36.1% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Jets to call the 4th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 61.8 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New York Jets have played in the 2nd-most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in the NFL since the start of last season, which ought to result in higher pass volume, reduced running volume, and improved pass game performance when facing better conditions in this week's contest.

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