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Zach Wilson

Zach Wilson Carries
Player Prop Week 14

New York Jets vs Houston Texans

Zach Wilson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +120 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a mere 27.04 seconds per snap, the Jets offense ranks as the 10th-fastest paced in the league (adjusted for context) this year.

Windy weather conditions (like the 14-mph being called for in this game) generally lead to lessened passing effectiveness, reduced air volume, and higher ground volume.

The Houston Texans defensive tackles profile as the worst collection of DTs in the league this year in regard to run defense.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The New York Jets may rely on the pass game less in this contest (and call more carries) because they be starting backup QB Zach Wilson.

The New York Jets have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Nathaniel Hackett, and our trusted projections expect their pass/run mix to skew 1.6% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).

A passing game script is suggested by the Jets being a -3-point underdog this week.

As it relates to opening holes for runners (and the influence it has on all ground game stats), the offensive line of the New York Jets ranks as the worst in the league last year.

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