Zach Wilson Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Zach Wilson

NFL · Player Props

Zach Wilson

QB · New York Jets

Carries

Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets · Week 11, 2023

Updated Nov 20, 2023 4:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Zach Wilson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -165 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Favors Under

The Jets may throw the ball less in this contest (and hand the ball off more) since they be forced to use backup quarterback Zach Wilson.
The model projects the New York Jets offensive approach to skew 1.1% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Nathaniel Hackett now calling the plays.
This game's spread implies a passing game script for the Jets, who are -6.5-point underdogs.
Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Jets to run on 38.6% of their opportunities: the 3rd-lowest clip on the slate this week.
Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Jets are predicted by the projection model to call only 62.4 total plays in this contest: the 3rd-fewest among all teams this week.

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