Zach Gentry Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Zach Gentry

NFL · Player Props

Zach Gentry

TE · Pittsburgh Steelers

Receiving Yards

Philadelphia Eagles vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 30, 2022 4:36 PM UTC

Analysis

Zach Gentry Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-107/-123).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -127 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -123.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Steelers are a heavy 11.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 4th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 65.6% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 131.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The weather forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.3 pass attempts per game against the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year: 9th-most in the league.

Favors Under

Zach Gentry has been a more important option in his team's offense this season, staying in the game for 48.6% of snaps vs just 38.0% last season.
Zach Gentry has put up a mere 2.0 air yards per game this year: just 19th percentile among tight ends.
The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has conceded the 5th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (63.4%) to tight ends this year (63.4%).
The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has displayed good efficiency versus tight ends this year, allowing 6.36 yards-per-target to the position: the 8th-least in the league.
The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has been quite strong when opposing tight ends have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 4.59 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 10th-least in the NFL.

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