Zach Gentry Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Zach Gentry

NFL · Player Props

Zach Gentry

TE · Pittsburgh Steelers

Receiving Yards

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 11, 2022

Updated Nov 21, 2022 1:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Zach Gentry Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-109/-119).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -119.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Steelers are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 7th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 63.8% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 61.1 plays per game.
Zach Gentry's possession skills have improved this season, with his Completion% increasing from 81.4% to 87.8%.
Zach Gentry's skills in picking up extra yardage have gotten a boost this season, averaging 9.25 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a measly 5.00 mark last season.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to run the 7th-least total plays among all teams this week with 63.0 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Zach Gentry has compiled a mere 2.0 air yards per game this year: just 15th percentile among TEs.
The Cincinnati Bengals defense has allowed the 6th-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 37.0) versus TEs this year.
The Cincinnati Bengals linebackers grade out as the 5th-best LB corps in the NFL this year in pass coverage.
The Pittsburgh Steelers O-line has afforded their quarterback just 2.19 seconds before the pass (worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all air attack statistics across the board.

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