My Account Log Out

reorder

Zach Ertz

Zach Ertz Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

Washington Commanders vs Chicago Bears

Zach Ertz Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+122/-160).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -196 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +122.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (3-mph wind) being called for in this game, while rush volume may drop-off.

Our trusted projections expect Zach Ertz to earn 5.3 targets in this contest, on balance, putting him in the 88th percentile among tight ends.

Zach Ertz's 40.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive usage) ranks him among the league leaders: 91st percentile for tight ends.

When talking about pocket protection (and the positive impact it has on all air attack statistics), the offensive line of the Commanders ranks as the 2nd-best in the league this year.

Zach Ertz has been one of the leading pass-game tight ends this year, averaging an impressive 3.6 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 85th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Commanders as the 4th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 52.5% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The projections expect this game to play at the 11th-worst pace out of all the games this week, averaging 26.88 seconds per play accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.

The Bears safeties profile as the 2nd-best safety corps in the league this year in covering receivers.

More Zach Ertz Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™