This week's spread indicates a passing game script for the Commanders, who are -4-point underdogs.The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being called for in this game, while run volume may decline.The predictive model expects Zach Ertz to earn 5.7 targets in this game, on balance, putting him in the 88th percentile among tight ends.With an extraordinary 19.2% Target% (93rd percentile) this year, Zach Ertz rates among the tight ends with the most usage in football.The Washington Commanders offensive line ranks as the 8th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong impact on all pass game metrics across the board.
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