My Account Log Out

reorder

Zach Ertz

Zach Ertz Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Los Angeles Rams vs Arizona Cardinals

Zach Ertz Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Cardinals may lean on the pass less in this game (and call more carries) as a result of being be rolling with backup QB Joshua Dobbs.

A passing game script is suggested by the Cardinals being a -6.5-point underdog in this week's contest.

The leading projections forecast Zach Ertz to total 6.5 targets this week, on average, ranking in the 94th percentile when it comes to TEs.

With a remarkable 23.0% Target Rate (98th percentile) this year, Zach Ertz ranks among the TEs with the highest volume in the NFL.

Zach Ertz has been among the leading pass-game tight ends this year, averaging an outstanding 4.3 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 90th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Arizona Cardinals have a new play-caller this year in head coach Jonathan Gannon, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to skew 5.5% more towards rushing than it did last year (adjusted for context).

At the moment, the 3rd-least pass-centric team in football (55.8% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Cardinals.

Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Cardinals are projected by the projections to run just 62.8 plays on offense in this game: the 6th-lowest number among all teams this week.

The Arizona Cardinals have called the 9th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 55.2 plays per game.

As it relates to protecting the passer (and the impact it has on all passing offense statistics), the O-line of the Arizona Cardinals grades out as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year.

More Zach Ertz Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™