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Zach Ertz
NFL · Player Props
Zach Ertz
TE · Arizona Cardinals
Receptions
Arizona Cardinals vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 9, 2022 Updated Nov 7, 2022 4:01 AM UTC
NFL Props Zach Ertz Receptions

Zach Ertz Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +108 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +110.

Favors Over
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cardinals to run the 2nd-most total plays among all teams this week with 66.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Arizona Cardinals have called the most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a whopping 66.0 plays per game.
  • The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Zach Ertz has run fewer routes this season (87.4% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (73.2%).
  • THE BLITZ projects Zach Ertz to accrue 6.2 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 92nd percentile among tight ends.
Favors Under
  • Opposing teams have averaged 33.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 7th-least in the league.
  • The Arizona Cardinals O-line ranks as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a harmful impact on all passing attack stats across the board.
  • The Arizona Cardinals offensive line has given their quarterback a mere 2.34 seconds before getting pressured (worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all pass game metrics across the board.
  • The Arizona Cardinals have faced a stacked the box on a measly 9.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-least in the league. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
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