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Zach Ertz

Zach Ertz Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Seattle Seahawks vs Arizona Cardinals

Zach Ertz Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-123/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +120 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals offense as the 3rd-fastest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 26.67 seconds per play.

The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Zach Ertz has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this year (85.4% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (73.2%).

THE BLITZ projects Zach Ertz to total 7.1 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 97th percentile among tight ends.

Zach Ertz's receiving skills have been refined this year, averaging 5.5 yards per game vs just 4.0 last year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing QBs have averaged 31.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 3rd-least in football.

The Arizona Cardinals offensive line has allowed their QB a mere 2.34 seconds before getting pressured (worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all passing offense stats across the board.

The Arizona Cardinals have gone up against a stacked the box on just 9.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-least in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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