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Zach Ertz

Zach Ertz Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Washington Commanders vs Tennessee Titans

Zach Ertz Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 35.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 33.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Commanders are expected by the projection model to run 65.6 offensive plays in this game: the 10th-most among all teams this week.

The 10th-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Washington Commanders this year (a whopping 58.5 per game on average).

The projections expect Zach Ertz to accumulate 6.1 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 86th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

Zach Ertz has been a big part of his team's pass game, garnering a Target Share of 19.9% this year, which puts him in the 93rd percentile among TEs.

Zach Ertz has totaled a colossal 45.0 air yards per game this year: 94th percentile when it comes to TEs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is implied by the Commanders being a 6-point favorite in this week's game.

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Washington Commanders to pass on 49.9% of their opportunities: the 2nd-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

Opposing offenses have averaged 29.6 pass attempts per game versus the Titans defense this year: 2nd-fewest in the league.

With a subpar 2.20 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (6th percentile) this year, Zach Ertz ranks among the best pass-game TEs in the NFL in picking up extra yardage.

The Titans defense has yielded the 10th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (just 46.0) versus tight ends this year.

More Zach Ertz Player Props

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