Zach Ertz Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Zach Ertz

NFL · Player Props

Zach Ertz

TE · Arizona Cardinals

Receiving Yards

Arizona Cardinals vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 9, 2022 11:15 PM UTC

Analysis

Zach Ertz Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 47.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cardinals are a 5.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals to be the 3rd-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 64.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 133.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Arizona Cardinals have called the 4th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 70.2 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Favors Under

Zach Ertz has posted quite a few less air yards this season (45.0 per game) than he did last season (52.0 per game).
The Philadelphia Eagles linebackers rank as the 7th-best unit in the league this year in pass coverage.
The Arizona Cardinals O-line has afforded their QB a measly 2.34 seconds before getting pressured (2nd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all air attack stats across the board.
The Philadelphia Eagles defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks just 2.40 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 7th-fastest in the NFL since the start of last season.
The Arizona Cardinals have faced a stacked the box on just 9.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-least in football. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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