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Zach Ertz

Zach Ertz Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 5

Arizona Cardinals vs Philadelphia Eagles

Zach Ertz Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+246/-398).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +265 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +246.
  • The Cardinals are a 5.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 133.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Arizona Cardinals have called the 4th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 70.2 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 37.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year: 10th-most in football.

  • THE BLITZ projects Zach Ertz to be a less important option in his offense's air attack near the goal line this week (25.0% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (38.5% in games he has played).
  • Zach Ertz has posted quite a few less air yards this season (45.0 per game) than he did last season (52.0 per game).
  • The Philadelphia Eagles linebackers rank as the 7th-best unit in the league this year in pass coverage.
  • The Arizona Cardinals O-line has afforded their QB a measly 2.34 seconds before getting pressured (2nd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all air attack stats across the board.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks just 2.40 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 7th-fastest in the NFL since the start of last season.

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