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Zach Charbonnet

Zach Charbonnet Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Seattle Seahawks vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Zach Charbonnet Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 59.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 59.5 @ -100 before it was bet down to 59.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is projected by the model to see 131.2 plays on offense run: the 5th-most among all games this week.
  • Our trusted projections expect Zach Charbonnet to earn 17.3 carries in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 88th percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • While Zach Charbonnet has accounted for 32.6% of his team's rushing play calls in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be a more integral piece of Seattle's rushing attack this week at 66.3%.
  • Zach Charbonnet grades out as one of the leading RBs in the NFL at picking up extra running yardage, averaging a remarkable 3.61 yards-after-contact this year while checking in at the 88th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to be the 9th-least run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 39.5% run rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • The forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and lower run volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • This year, the deficient Packers run defense has yielded a staggering 4.28 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to the opposition's running game: the 24th-worst rate in football.
  • As it relates to the defensive ends' role in stopping the run, Green Bay's DE corps has been excellent this year, grading out as the 9th-best in the NFL.

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