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Zach Charbonnet

Zach Charbonnet Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 13

New York Jets vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Zach Charbonnet Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the 5th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 130.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing teams have run for the 8th-most adjusted yards in the league (136 per game) versus the New York Jets defense this year.
  • The New York Jets defensive ends project as the 3rd-worst collection of DEs in the NFL this year in regard to defending the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the present time, the 9th-least run-heavy offense in the NFL (37.7% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Seattle Seahawks.
  • While Zach Charbonnet has garnered 28.8% of his offense's rush attempts in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a less important option in Seattle's run game in this week's game at 18.4%.
  • Zach Charbonnet's 3.3 adjusted yards per carry this year represents a meaningful decrease in his running skills over last year's 4.4 rate.

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