Zach Charbonnet Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Zach Charbonnet

NFL · Player Props

Zach Charbonnet

RB · Seattle Seahawks

Rushing Yards

Dallas Cowboys vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 13, 2023

Updated Dec 1, 2023 1:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Zach Charbonnet Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 48.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 48.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 48.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Right now, the 9th-fastest paced offense in football (in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Seattle Seahawks.
In this week's game, Zach Charbonnet is forecasted by the projection model to secure a spot in the 81st percentile among RBs with 15.2 rush attempts.
While Zach Charbonnet has been responsible for 30.4% of his offense's run game usage in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be a more important option in Seattle's run game this week at 69.6%.
Zach Charbonnet's running effectiveness (4.71 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in the NFL this year (83rd percentile among RBs).

Favors Under

An extreme passing game script is indicated by the Seahawks being a massive -9.5-point underdog this week.
Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Seahawks to run on 34.0% of their downs: the 2nd-lowest clip on the slate this week.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
As it relates to opening holes for runners (and the influence it has on all run game statistics), the O-line of the Seahawks profiles as the 4th-worst in the league last year.
This year, the feeble Dallas Cowboys run defense has yielded a monstrous 4.18 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to the opposition's run game: the 23rd-worst rate in the NFL.

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