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Zach Charbonnet

Zach Charbonnet Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Chicago Bears vs Seattle Seahawks

Zach Charbonnet Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the Seahawks to be the 5th-most pass-centric offense in football (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 63.4% pass rate.

The predictive model expects the Seahawks offense to be the 9th-quickest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 27.10 seconds per snap.

The projections expect Zach Charbonnet to garner 4.8 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 95th percentile when it comes to running backs.

The leading projections forecast Zach Charbonnet to be a more integral piece of his offense's passing offense in this contest (14.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (8.7% in games he has played).

With a remarkable 2.6 adjusted catches per game (78th percentile) this year, Zach Charbonnet has been among the best pass-game running backs in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Seahawks are a 5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.

The Seattle Seahawks offensive line ranks as the 4th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all passing attack stats across the board.

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