Zach Charbonnet Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Zach Charbonnet

NFL · Player Props

Zach Charbonnet

RB · Seattle Seahawks

Receptions

Cincinnati Bengals vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 6, 2023

Updated Oct 15, 2023 11:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Zach Charbonnet Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+130/-160).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +150 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Seahawks are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of a reliance on throwing than their usual game plan.
The projections expect the Seattle Seahawks as the 8th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 60.1% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
Our trusted projections expect the Seahawks offense to be the 8th-fastest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 27.18 seconds per snap.
When it comes to safeties in pass coverage, Cincinnati's unit has been easily exploitable this year, profiling as the 3rd-worst in the NFL.

Favors Under

Opposing offenses have averaged 30.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year: 6th-fewest in the league.
Zach Charbonnet has been one of the most hard-handed receivers in the NFL among running backs, hauling in a measly 64.5% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, checking in at the 16th percentile.
Since the start of last season, the stout Bengals defense has given up a mere 72.5% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing RBs: the smallest rate in the league.

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