Zach Charbonnet Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Zach Charbonnet

NFL · Player Props

Zach Charbonnet

RB · Seattle Seahawks

Receptions

Seattle Seahawks vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 1, 2023

Updated Sep 10, 2023 11:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Zach Charbonnet Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+138/-180).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +140 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +138.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Seahawks rank as the 8th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL (in a neutral context) since the start of last season with a 63.7% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Seahawks to run the 3rd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.2 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Zach Charbonnet to notch 2.6 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 75th percentile among running backs.
The Los Angeles Rams safeties profile as the 3rd-worst safety corps in the league since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

Favors Under

The Seahawks are a 4.5-point favorite this week, likely creating a rushing game script.
The Los Angeles Rams pass defense has yielded the 8th-lowest Completion% in football (77.3%) versus running backs since the start of last season (77.3%).

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