Zach Charbonnet Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

reorder

NFL · Player Props

Zach Charbonnet

RB · Seattle Seahawks

Receiving Yards

Dallas Cowboys vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 13, 2023

Updated Dec 1, 2023 12:51 AM UTC

Analysis

Zach Charbonnet Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

An extreme passing game script is indicated by the Seahawks being a massive -9.5-point underdog this week.
Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Seattle Seahawks to pass on 66.0% of their downs: the 2nd-greatest rate among all teams this week.
Right now, the 9th-fastest paced offense in football (in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Seattle Seahawks.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
The predictive model expects Zach Charbonnet to accumulate 5.1 targets in this week's game, on balance, putting him in the 92nd percentile when it comes to running backs.

Favors Under

Opposing offenses teams have been hesitant to lean on the pass against the Dallas Cowboys, averaging the 3rd-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 30.5 per game) this year.
In regards to air yards, Zach Charbonnet ranks in the lowly 10th percentile among running backs this year, averaging just -4.0 per game.
Zach Charbonnet comes in as one of the least efficient receivers in the NFL among running backs, averaging a measly 3.87 adjusted yards-per-target this year while grading out in the 2nd percentile.
Zach Charbonnet checks in as one of the worst running backs in the league at grinding out extra yardage in the passing game, averaging a measly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 2nd percentile.
This year, the fierce Cowboys defense has yielded a feeble 26.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing running backs: the 8th-best in football.