Zach Charbonnet Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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NFL · Player Props

Zach Charbonnet

RB · Seattle Seahawks

Receiving Yards

Seattle Seahawks vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 12, 2023

Updated Nov 24, 2023 12:26 AM UTC

Analysis

Zach Charbonnet Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-125/-109).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

An extreme throwing game script is implied by the Seahawks being a heavy -7-point underdog in this game.
Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Seahawks to pass on 63.9% of their opportunities: the 5th-highest clip among all teams this week.
Opposing offenses have averaged 39.4 pass attempts per game against the 49ers defense this year: 4th-most in the league.
In this week's contest, Zach Charbonnet is predicted by our trusted projection set to place in the 83rd percentile among running backs with 3.9 targets.
This year, the porous San Francisco 49ers defense has conceded a monstrous 42.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing running backs: the 8th-most in football.

Favors Under

Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Seattle Seahawks are anticipated by the model to run just 61.5 plays on offense in this game: the fewest on the slate this week.
The Seattle Seahawks have run the 8th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 56.0 plays per game.
Zach Charbonnet has accumulated a measly -4.0 air yards per game this year: just 9th percentile among running backs.
Zach Charbonnet profiles as one of the least efficient receivers in the league when it comes to running backs, averaging just 4.00 adjusted yards-per-target this year while ranking in the 12th percentile.
Zach Charbonnet comes in as one of the bottom running backs in the league at generating extra yardage in the passing game, averaging a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while grading out in the 2nd percentile.