Zach Charbonnet Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-105/-125).
Key Factors
Favors Over
Right now, the 9th-fastest paced offense in football (in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Seattle Seahawks.
In this week's game, Zach Charbonnet is forecasted by the projection model to secure a spot in the 81st percentile among RBs with 15.2 rush attempts.
While Zach Charbonnet has been responsible for 30.4% of his offense's run game usage in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be a more important option in Seattle's run game this week at 69.6%.
Favors Under
An extreme passing game script is indicated by the Seahawks being a massive -9.5-point underdog this week.
Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Seahawks to run on 34.0% of their downs: the 2nd-lowest clip on the slate this week.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
As it relates to opening holes for runners (and the influence it has on all run game statistics), the O-line of the Seahawks profiles as the 4th-worst in the league last year.
When it comes to the defensive ends' role in run defense, Dallas's collection of DEs has been tremendous this year, grading out as the 2nd-best in the league.