Will Levis TD Passes - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Will Levis

NFL · Player Props

Will Levis

QB · Tennessee Titans

TD Passes

Tennessee Titans vs Houston Texans · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 9:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Will Levis TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+196/-260).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -260 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -260.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Titans have been the 10th-most pass-heavy team in the league near the goal line (adjusted for context) this year with a 57.1% red zone pass rate.
This year, the weak Houston Texans defense has given up a staggering 72.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 8th-biggest rate in the NFL.

Favors Under

With a 3-point advantage, the Titans are favored in this game, suggesting more of a reliance on rushing than their standard approach.
The leading projections forecast the Tennessee Titans to be the 6th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 51.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
The projections expect the Titans to call the 10th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 64.3 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans have called the 4th-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a measly 54.5 plays per game.
In regards to pass protection (and the significance it has on all passing game statistics), the O-line of the Tennessee Titans ranks as the 9th-worst in the NFL this year.

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