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Will Levis
NFL · Player Props
Will Levis
QB · Tennessee Titans
TD Passes
Miami Dolphins vs Tennessee Titans · Week 14, 2023 Updated Dec 12, 2023 12:26 AM UTC
NFL Props Will Levis TD Passes

Will Levis TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-270/+210).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -250 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +210.

Favors Over
  • The leading projections forecast the Titans offensive strategy to lean 2.5% more towards the passing game than it did last season (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Tim Kelly now calling the plays.
  • The Titans are a heavy 13.5-point underdog this week, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
  • Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 5th-highest rate in the league vs. the Miami Dolphins defense this year (73.9% Adjusted Completion%).
Favors Under
  • Our trusted projections expect the Tennessee Titans to be the least pass-heavy offense in football (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 56.1% pass rate.
  • The leading projections forecast the Titans to call the fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.3 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Tennessee Titans have run the fewest plays in football this year, totaling a mere 53.9 plays per game.
  • The Tennessee O-line ranks as the 9th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful influence on all passing offense statistics across the board.
  • The Miami Dolphins safeties rank as the 2nd-best unit in the NFL this year in defending pass-catchers.
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