Will Levis Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Will Levis

NFL · Player Props

Will Levis

QB · Tennessee Titans

Passing Yards

Tennessee Titans vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 13, 2023

Updated Dec 3, 2023 5:16 PM UTC

Analysis

Will Levis Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 210.5 (-115/-113).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 215.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 210.5 @ -113.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The model projects the Tennessee Titans offensive gameplan to tilt 2.7% more towards the passing game than it did last season (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Tim Kelly now calling the plays.
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is expected by the predictive model to see just 130.9 total plays called: the lowest number out of all the games this week.

Favors Under

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Tennessee Titans to pass on 53.5% of their opportunities: the 3rd-lowest rate on the slate this week.
The Tennessee Titans have called the fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a lowly 52.2 plays per game.
Opposing QBs have averaged 34.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Colts defense this year: 8th-fewest in football.
The Tennessee Titans offensive line profiles as the 8th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all passing attack stats across the board.
This year, the tough Colts defense has conceded the 10th-least yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing squads: a mere 4.5 YAC.

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