Will Levis Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Will Levis

NFL · Player Props

Will Levis

QB · Tennessee Titans

Passing Yards

Tennessee Titans vs Carolina Panthers · Week 12, 2023

Updated Nov 26, 2023 8:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Will Levis Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 200.5 (+100/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 199.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 200.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Titans feature a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Tim Kelly, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to tilt 2.1% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
The Panthers defense has struggled when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 5.28 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year: the 5th-most in football.

Favors Under

A running game script is indicated by the Titans being a 3.5-point favorite in this game.
Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Tennessee Titans to pass on 50.2% of their downs: the lowest clip among all teams this week.
The leading projections forecast this game to see the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 125.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The fewest plays in football have been called by the Tennessee Titans this year (a mere 52.7 per game on average).
Opposing quarterbacks teams have been hesitant to test the pass defense of the Panthers, totaling the 3rd-fewest attempts in football (a lowly 30.7 per game) this year.

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