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Will Dissly

Will Dissly Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Cleveland Browns vs Los Angeles Chargers

Will Dissly Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-165/+135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -160 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -165.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects this game to have the 2nd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 135.4 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics.

The model projects Will Dissly to total 4.0 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 77th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

Will Dissly's receiving skills have been refined this season, accumulating 3.7 adjusted catches vs just 1.4 last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The 9th-smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Los Angeles Chargers this year (a mere 56.1 per game on average).

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to lean on the pass against the Cleveland Browns, totaling the 6th-fewest attempts in football (just 30.4 per game) this year.

The model projects Will Dissly to be much less involved in his offense's passing offense in this game (12.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (17.5% in games he has played).

The Los Angeles Chargers offensive line profiles as the 7th-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all pass game stats across the board.

Will Dissly's 80.5% Adjusted Completion% this year illustrates a significant diminishment in his receiving talent over last year's 89.4% rate.

More Will Dissly Player Props

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