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Will Dissly

Will Dissly Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Chargers

Will Dissly Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+145/-180).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +140 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -180.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and lower rush volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

In this week's contest, Will Dissly is projected by the predictive model to place in the 84th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 4.8 targets.

Will Dissly's 11.9% Target Rate this season represents a material progression in his pass game usage over last season's 3.5% rate.

Will Dissly's receiving skills have improved this year, notching 2.6 adjusted catches vs a mere 1.4 last year.

Will Dissly's ball-catching skills have gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate jumping from 89.4% to 92.9%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Los Angeles Chargers to pass on 54.9% of their plays: the 4th-lowest rate among all teams this week.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to see just 124.0 total plays run: the lowest number out of all the games this week.

The Chargers have called the 5th-fewest plays in football this year, totaling just 54.4 plays per game.

Opposing teams teams have been afraid to rely on the passing game too much against the Cardinals, averaging the fewest attempts in football (a mere 29.2 per game) this year.

The Los Angeles Chargers offensive line profiles as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative influence on all pass game stats across the board.

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