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Will Dissly

Will Dissly Receptions
Player Prop Week 4

Los Angeles Chargers vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Will Dissly Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+105/-135).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Los Angeles Chargers may take to the air less in this week's game (and call more carries) given that they be rolling out backup QB Taylor Heinicke.
  • The Chargers are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.
  • The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may drop.
  • Will Dissly's possession skills have improved this year, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 89.4% to 100.0%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Los Angeles Chargers as the 6th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 53.6% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 124.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been afraid to lean on the pass against the Chiefs, totaling the 6th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 31.6 per game) since the start of last season.
  • The Chiefs defensive tackles grade out as the 3rd-best group of DTs in the league since the start of last season when it comes to pass rush.

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