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Will Dissly

Will Dissly Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
Will Dissly Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+195/-245).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -200 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -245.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The 9th-highest number of plays in football have been called by the Los Angeles Chargers since the start of last season (a whopping 59.8 per game on average).
  • The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (2-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while rush volume may suffer.
  • With a terrific 90.0% Adjusted Catch% (87th percentile) since the start of last season, Will Dissly has been as one of the most reliable receivers in the NFL among TEs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Los Angeles Chargers to pass on 52.9% of their downs: the 3rd-lowest clip among all teams this week.
  • The predictive model expects the Chargers to run the 8th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 62.6 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • The Steelers pass defense has allowed the 9th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (70.7%) versus TEs since the start of last season (70.7%).
  • As it relates to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Pittsburgh's group of safeties has been great since the start of last season, projecting as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

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