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Will Dissly

Will Dissly Receptions
Player Prop Week 14

Kansas City Chiefs vs Los Angeles Chargers

Will Dissly Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-143/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -159 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -143.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Chargers are a 4-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script.

The projections expect Will Dissly to garner 6.5 targets in this week's contest, on balance, placing him in the 89th percentile when it comes to TEs.

Will Dissly has been much more involved in his team's passing attack this year (16.1% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (3.5%).

Will Dissly's 3.4 adjusted receptions per game this season marks a material boost in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 1.4 figure.

This year, the feeble Chiefs pass defense has yielded a staggering 79.1% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing TEs: the 7th-highest rate in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Chargers to run the 6th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.3 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The Chargers have called the 4th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a lowly 54.3 plays per game.

Will Dissly's sure-handedness have diminished this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate falling off from 89.4% to 79.3%.

As it relates to linebackers in defending receivers, Kansas City's LB corps has been very good this year, profiling as the 8th-best in football.

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