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Will Dissly

Will Dissly Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Los Angeles Chargers vs Baltimore Ravens

Will Dissly Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +112 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Still weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being called for in this game) typically cause better passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher air attack volume, and reduced rush volume.

The Baltimore Ravens defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, tempting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the most passes in football (41.7 per game) this year.

In this week's contest, Will Dissly is anticipated by our trusted projection set to place in the 92nd percentile when it comes to tight ends with 6.5 targets.

Will Dissly has been a more integral piece of his team's passing attack this season (18.0% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (3.5%).

Will Dissly's receiving skills have been refined this season, notching 3.6 adjusted receptions compared to just 1.4 last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Chargers are expected by the predictive model to call only 62.6 total plays in this game: the fewest on the slate this week.

The Chargers have called the fewest plays in football this year, averaging just 55.2 plays per game.

Will Dissly's 79.3% Adjusted Catch% this season illustrates a substantial drop-off in his receiving ability over last season's 89.4% rate.

The Ravens safeties profile as the 4th-best safety corps in the NFL this year in regard to pass rush.

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