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Will Dissly

Will Dissly Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Los Angeles Chargers vs Cincinnati Bengals

Will Dissly Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -150 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

This week, Will Dissly is anticipated by the model to position himself in the 94th percentile among tight ends with 6.2 targets.

Will Dissly's 18.1% Target Rate this year shows a noteable boost in his passing game utilization over last year's 3.5% mark.

Will Dissly's 3.6 adjusted receptions per game this season reflects a noteworthy improvement in his pass-catching talent over last season's 1.4 mark.

This year, the poor Bengals pass defense has been gouged for a whopping 79.6% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing TEs: the 8th-highest rate in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Chargers to run the 3rd-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.6 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

The 7th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Los Angeles Chargers this year (a measly 55.0 per game on average).

In regards to pocket protection (and the importance it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the Los Angeles Chargers ranks as the 4th-worst in the league this year.

Will Dissly's possession skills have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Catch% decreasing from 89.4% to 79.7%.

More Will Dissly Player Props

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