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Will Dissly

Will Dissly Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Los Angeles Chargers vs Tennessee Titans

Will Dissly Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-145/+115).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being called for in this game) typically correlate with increased passing effectiveness, increased touchdown potential, increased air attack volume, and lower run volume.

In this week's contest, Will Dissly is predicted by our trusted projection set to find himself in the 77th percentile among tight ends with 4.4 targets.

Will Dissly has been much more involved in his team's pass attack this year (16.7% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (3.5%).

Will Dissly's 3.5 adjusted catches per game this year conveys a noteable boost in his pass-catching skills over last year's 1.4 mark.

This year, the porous Tennessee Titans pass defense has yielded a monstrous 79.0% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing TEs: the 10th-biggest rate in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Chargers are an enormous 8-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Los Angeles Chargers to pass on 54.1% of their opportunities: the 7th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.

The leading projections forecast this game to see the 2nd-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 124.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The 9th-fewest plays in the NFL have been run by the Chargers this year (only 55.4 per game on average).

Opposing offenses teams have been reluctant to pass too much against the Titans, totaling the 4th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 29.6 per game) this year.

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